Week 13: Get 'Em In, Get 'Em Out

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And I am back.  I took a week off for Thanksgiving.  The boss was so kind to give me a week off from writing.  And by give me a week off I mean he had no clue I was not writing for the week.  But don't fret.  I would never leave out there on your own for the final week before the fantasy playoffs start.  Let's rock.

Photo courtesy of bostonglobe.com

Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans

  • Get 'Em In
    • Jarvis Landry - Landry is coming off his best game of the year by a long shot.  Landry reeled in eight balls for a whopping 143 yards and he caught his first touchdown of the year.  The biggest issue with Landry is not himself, its Baker Mayfield's accuracy.  Every week Mayfield is missing wide open receivers, but eight catches on 11 targets gives me hope that Mayfield and Landry are on the same page finally.  The Titans are the opponents this Sunday, who still have a bottom four pass defense and tend to get into these quirky high scoring games.  I would be very confident in treating Landry as as strong WR2 this week.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Jonnu Smith - The Browns are the 31st ranked defense against the tight end position and I could end up completely wrong here.  However, Jonnu just posted a goose egg last Sunday against the Colts.  And one thing is very clear at this point - the Titans offense is Tannehill, Henry, and Brown.  That is who it runs through.  Anyone else is second fiddle and lucky to get involved.  Henry was a complete monster last week, and come Sunday I think it is Brown's turn as wideouts have hurt Cleveland all year long.  Jonnu is basically touchdown dependent, which scares me.  Brown should and will have a role all game long.

Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets

  • Get 'Em In
    • Darren Waller - I can sit here and say Waller was a massive disappointment a week ago against the Falcons, but that would not be fair.  The entire Raiders team was a disappointment a week ago.  Did you know Carr scored zero fantasy points?  Zip, zilch, nadda.  Zero out of a quarterback is unheard of.  Ain't a better get right game than the Jets though, am I right?  Something to keep an eye on is Nelson Agholor has missed back to back practices this week.  Regardless if he plays or not, I like Waller this week.  But, I especially love him if Agholor needs to sit.  Also, Jacobs is beat up and may not play.  That leaves Waller as the best option on the field Sunday against the winless Jets
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Raiders Defense - Quietly the Jets pass catching trio of Jamison Crowder, Denzel Mims, and Breshad Perriman have been playing quality football.  All of which can have fantasy relevance this week as WR1, WR3, and a Flex, in that order.  I would give them a bit of bump with another Week with Darnold also.  If this was still Joe Flacco, I may say stream the Raiders if say, you have the Bucs defense on a bye this week.  But with Darnold and the lack of quality players in the Vegas secondary, it's not worth it.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Minnesota Vikings

  • Get 'Em In
    • Kirk Cousins - I cringe a little bit any time I actually give the green light to start Kirk Cousins, but the fact of the matter is, Cousins has strung together four really good games.  One of those was on the road, in primetime, against the Bears, and he was still able to throw up 22 fantasy points.  Head Coach Mike Zimmer has talked about managing Dalvin Cook moving forward as he is "beat up."  Couple that with the fact Cousins has averaged 37 passes the last three weeks, he makes for a strong play this week as you jockey for playoff positioning. 
  • Bonus Get 'Em In
    • Kyle Rudolph - Irv Smith is going to be out another week and the Jaguars are terrible at defending tight ends.  A tight end has scored against them the last two weeks and third time is a charm remember.  While Smith has been sidelined the last few games, Rudolph has seen at least five targets and 60 yards each game.  I like that trend to continue with Cousins slinging as much as he has been, and the Jaguars being so poor on defense.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins

  • Get 'Em In
    • Dolphins Defense - The Dolphins just continue to be an old reliable weekly start.  Last week they posted a 17 point output as they collected two picks and three sacks against the Jets.  Now on deck is a Bengals team missing their starting quarterback and starting running back.  Last week against the Giants the Bengals only mustered 17 points and Brandon Allen only threw for 136 yards.  The Dolphins defense is much better than the Giants.  Roll Miami out again with confidence.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Tyler Boyd - Without Burrow slinging it around, I am real nervous about Boyd's potential production moving forward.  I know one game is a small sample size, but it is a sample regardless, and three catches for 15 yards is awful.  With Brandon Allen and the Dolphins quality defense, Boyd could be in for another long afternoon.

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans

  • Get 'Em In
    • Duke Johnson - I LOVE Duke this week, and I LIKE Duke moving forward.  The love this week is not because of his quality day on Thanksgiving, but more so because it's another week without David Johnson, and the first week without Will Fuller, who is serving a suspension.  We all know it, Duke's best quality is catching the ball out of the backfield, and with one less pass catcher for Watson to throw to, Duke should get even more looks.  Ground-wise, he is facing a Colts defense that just got demolished by Derrick Henry.  Duke Johnson is no Derrick Henry by any stretch of the imagination, but their egos may be a bit bruised after that walloping.  I like Duke for maybe 40-50 ground yards, with equally as much in the air, and if he hits the endzone, you're hitting the jackpot.  Beyond this week, I still like Duke even if David Johnson returns because of the absence of Fuller moving forward.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Michael Pittman - The matchup itself is great, but last week I was all in on Pittman, and instead I was left with Phillip Rivers missing throws all over the field.  On top of that, it seemed finally after three months, that Rivers and TY Hilton got on the same page.  I would be leery marching any Colts receivers out though because of Rivers' ongoing accuracy issues.

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

  • Get 'Em In
    • David Montgomery - Montgomery has quietly become a workhorse, which honestly, shouldn't be as much of a surprise as what it is, considering they don't have a quarterback who can complete a pass two yards past the line of scrimmage.  Montgomery only ran 11 times last week against the Packers, but he turned that into 103 yards.  But he also snagged five balls out of the air, one of which for a score.  The 11 for 103 is easily Montgomery's best ground game of the year, and yes it came against the awful Packers run defense.  But you know who has a worst run defense?  The Lions.  Detroit is dead last against the run and, even though a lot of times teams show up to play game one of an interim coach, the Lions league worst run defense will be without Danny Shelton clogging up space on the line. Montgomery is my play of the week.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Marvin Jones - Jones has had two straight games as the Lions top wideout on the depth chart.  Both those games were against bottom tier defenses in Carolina and Houston.  Yet, he averaged less than ten fantasy points both those games.  It is clear teams are able to hone in on Jones with no Golladay on the field.  This week presents a much tougher matchup with the Bears in Chicago so you shouldn't expect his hard times to end.

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Get 'Em In
    • Taysom Hill - Taysom Hill played a lot worse last week compared to his first start two weeks ago.  In that terrible start, Hill managed to post 18 fantasy points.  18 fantasy points in a game where he threw for 78 yards.  Those numbers and that output show what Hill's legs can do for his value.  The 18 points are Hill's floor.  But in a game against Atlanta that tend to turn into shootouts more often than not, I am a lot more confident in a performance like we saw back in Week 11, where we saw Hill accumulate 24 fantasy points, against these same Falcons.
  • Get 'Em Out.
    • Matt Ryan - The Falcons are coming off a blowout win against the Raiders, where they hung 43 points on them.  43 points, yet all Ryan got was 18 fantasy points.  The same as our boy Taysom Hill up there.  Two weeks ago, again, against the Saints, Ryan had a long day, mustering only seven fantasy points.  So 25 fantasy points in two weeks.  Buzz, your girlfriend, woof.  In a game where the Falcons will probably be without Todd Gurley again, making them one dimensional, Ryan could be in for another long day.

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks

  • Get 'Em In
    • Tyler Lockett - Why?  Because it seems as if whenever I list Lockett as a start him, he has one of his monster games.  And your boy here, needs a win to make the fantasy playoffs, so Lockett, get on in.  Lockett was an afterthought last week as he watched (with the rest of us) D.K. Metcalf drop a load on the Eagles secondary.  He should clearly be the focal point of the Giants defense, who quietly boast a secondary who have given up the least amount of explosive pass plays all season.  Which is exactly Metcalf's bread and butter.  I expect Lockett to feast on his short quick routes.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Wayne Gallman - Gallman has been a fantasy savior for anyone who snagged him when Barkley and then eventually Freeman went down.  Gallman has scored in five straight games.  You ask that of your stud fantasy backs, never mind of a waiver wire scoop mid season.  Come Sunday though, the Giants have to square up against the high flying Seahawks and are doing so with Colt McCoy at the helm.  Long story short, if and when Seattle gets out in front, Gallman's chances are going to be few and far between.  And when those chances do come, its against a run defense that has been much improved of late, allowing just barely three yards a carry in their last five games.

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals

  • Get 'Em In
    • Robert Woods - The Rams are so frustrating. One week they can beat the loaded Bucs, the next they lose to the homeless and wounded 49ers.  But there is one constant that I am always confident in rolling out into my lineups, and that is Bobby Trees.  Mainly because of the Rams willingness to get him involved in both the air, and the ground attack.  That places him in the WR2 range each and every week.  Also, coming off two games of 15 targets, and 12 targets respectively, is hard to ignore.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Kenyan Drake - The Rams still remain a Top 10 run defense, and running into the monster that is Aaron Donald sure sounds less than appealing.  So bounce it outside, duh!  Well Drake is not that kind of back.  That would be Chase Edmonds job.  Regardless, shy away from both Cardinals backs.

New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers

  • Get 'Em In
    • James White - I just feel White is the safest play here.  You know he will get a handful of carries a game, and always be involved in the passing work.  For actual ground work, it could be Harris, it could be Sony.  You don't know.  White is a safe Flex play week in and week out.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Hunter Henry - Less a bench, more a bust alert.  Henry has been one of the best tight end plays (don't take that out of context) the last three weeks having fantasy days of 13, 14, and again 13 points.  Now the Patriots come to town who are Top 5 against tight ends and limit them to roughly eight fantasy points a game.  Keenan Allen should see a lot of Stephon Gilmore and the rest of the defense?  They will be on Henry.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Green Bay Packers

  • Get 'Em In
    • Miles Sanders - As I just mentioned earlier, David Montgomery just gashed Green Bay for over 100 yards on only 11 carries.   You can run against Green Bay.  Passing?  Some teams can, but Wentz will probably see a lot of the Smith boys all afternoon long.  They would be wise to use Sanders as long as they possibly can until if and when the game gets out of hand.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Aaron Jones - Back to back bust alerts.  Did you know that Jones has not topped 100 yards on the ground since way back in Week 2?  Not to mention, last week was the first time since Week 3 since Jones had more than 15 carries in a game.  The Packers continue not to just let Jones run wild.  And as I continue to mention weekly, the Eagles are tough against opposing backs, ranking in the Top 10.  Jones will see his 10-15 carries per usual with a couple looks in the pass game, but that may not add up to very much against that Eagles front.

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs

  • Get 'Em In
    • Clyde Edwards-Helaire -If Helaire plays this week, I like him as an RB2.  Broncos somehow still are quite strong against opposing receivers and tight ends.  Where they are weak, stopping running backs as they fall in the bottom third of the league.  Helair's usage lately worries me, however, at the same time Denver can't score much.  He should see more usage this week than he has in over a month.  There is the IF I mentioned though, as he missed Thursday's practice with a non-Covid illness.  Just something worth monitoring.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Brandon McManus - Once upon a time Brandon McManus was one of the most reliable fantasy kickers.  Accuracy wise he is, but volume wise he has not been this year.  McManus has not scored more than ten fantasy points since all the way back in Week 6, where he booted six kicks through the uprights.  If you take that Week out, McManus is only averaging seven fantasy points a week.  And settling for field goals against the Chiefs is asking for a loss.

Washington Football Team @ Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Get 'Em In
    • Eric Ebron - I really like Ebron's volume of late as he saw seven targets and a score against the Jaguars and 11 targets for 54 yards Wednesday afternoon against the Ravens.  And if you watched that game, the Steelers were dropping passes all afternoon long, but Ebron was not.  Believe you me that Big Ben took note of that too.  Ebron is becoming a very reliable source for catches in the Steelers pass heavy offense and should continue to see that volume against a middling defense versus tight ends in Washington.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Steelers Running Backs - Whether it's James Conner (currently on COVID List) or Benny Snell, I would avoid the Steelers backfield this weekend.  In Conner's case, he has not gone over 100 yards since Week 6.  And for Snell, he just is not that good.  As for Washington, they are in the Top 3 against the run and just held Ezekiel Elliott on Thanksgiving to 32 yards rushing. 
Bonus Prediction: Washington 19 Pittsburgh 17

Buffalo Bills @ San Francisco 49ers

  • Get 'Em In
    • Raheem Mostert - Must Start Mostert.  That's it.  That's all the information.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Devin Singletary/Zach Moss - It seems as if the Bills really want to pass the torch to Zach Moss, but Singletary continues to do just enough to stay relevant.  Last week he had 100 total yards for only the second time all year.  However, Moss, still carried the rock nine times for 59 yards and tends to get the goal line work.  Also, the Niners are really good against the run as they rank just outside the Top 5 against the position. Worth avoiding this week, and possibly even next with the Steelers on deck.

Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

  • Get 'Em In
    • Tony Pollard -Wait what?  Is Zeke hurt?  What is this?  No, he is not, nor is he sick.  But hear me out.  Zeke, as I just stated earlier, mustered 32 yards on Thanksgiving and now he faces Baltimore's rush defense.  He also fumbled for the sixth time in 11 games!  Pollard has shown way more explosiveness throughout the year.  Zeke has bust written all over him this week and you can look at this as you would rather get what you pay for.  What I mean by that is, doesn't eight fantasy points from Pollard seem way more than eight fantasy points from Zeke?  It does, doesn't it.  I Think Pollard gets some serious run on Tuesday night.
  • Get 'Em Out
    • Ezekiel Elliot - I literally just told you why?  Why are you still reading?  Go home.  Actually, go to Spotify and listen to our podcasts.


Follow Ryan on Twitter @BesseBoy

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Boston Sports Syndicate: Week 13: Get 'Em In, Get 'Em Out
Week 13: Get 'Em In, Get 'Em Out
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